Can somebody help me with the interpretation of Dynare results?
I include GDP at levels (yf) starting from 1970, and have the growth rate of yf and detrended (diff(log (yf)) in yf_obs.
yf_obs = detrend(diff(log(yf)), ‘constant’);
yf is formal sector GDP
ys is shadow sector GDP
total GDP y = yf+ys
In the model, I have defined y as follows;
yf=exp(zf)*kf(-1)^ALPH*nf^(1-ALPH); % (1)
ys=exp(zs)*ks(-1)^ALPH_S*ns^(1-ALPH_S); % (4)
y=yf+ys; % (12)
ysy=ys/y;
I get the smoothed variables in oo_.smoothedvariables as the output.
ys/y
1971 0.309518199
1972 0.258122016
1973 0.330331209
1974 0.319470245
1975 0.402108905
My problem is, do these values show the percentage deviation from the steady state? I want to get the size of the Shadow Economy as a share of total GDP timeseries.