Starting Dynare (version 5.1). Calling Dynare with arguments: none Starting preprocessing of the model file ... WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'ewma' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'epinfma' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'zcapf' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'rkf' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'kf' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'pkf' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'cf' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'invef' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'yf' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'labf' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'wf' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'rrf' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'mc' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'zcap' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'rk' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'k' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'pk' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'c' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'inve' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'y' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'lab' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'pinf' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'w' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'r' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'a' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'b' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'g' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'qs' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'ms' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'spinf' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'sw' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'kpf' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'kp' is not assigned a value WARNING: in the 'steady_state_model' block, variable 'ff' is not assigned a value Found 41 equation(s). Evaluating expressions...done Computing static model derivatives (order 1). Computing dynamic model derivatives (order 2). Processing outputs ... done Preprocessing completed. [Warning: Some of the parameters have no value (ccs, cinvs, crdpi) when using initial_estimation_checks. If these parameters are not initialized in a steadystate file or a steady_state_model-block, Dynare may not be able to solve the model. Note that simul, perfect_foresight_setup, and perfect_foresight_solver do not automatically call the steady state file.] Initial value of the log posterior (or likelihood): -477.6614 ========================================================== Change in the posterior covariance matrix = 3.9997. Change in the posterior mean = 1.8206. Current mode = 287.0966 Mode improvement = 190.5648 New value of jscale = 0.0083561 ========================================================== ========================================================== Change in the posterior covariance matrix = 0.12647. Change in the posterior mean = 4.5166. Current mode = 255.4346 Mode improvement = 31.662 New value of jscale = 0.10411 ========================================================== [Warning: Matrix is close to singular or badly scaled. Results may be inaccurate. RCOND = 2.027694e-16.] [> In occbin.mkdatap_anticipated_dyn (line 104) In occbin.solve_one_constraint (line 175) In occbin.solver (line 63) In occbin.kalman_update_algo_1 (line 133) In missing_observations_kalman_filter (line 235) In dsge_likelihood (line 705) In gmhmaxlik_core (line 154) In gmhmaxlik (line 100) In dynare_minimize_objective (line 336) In dynare_estimation_1 (line 211) In dynare_estimation (line 118) In sw07_0719_ff.driver (line 670) In dynare (line 281) ] [Warning: Matrix is close to singular or badly scaled. Results may be inaccurate. RCOND = 1.814655e-16.] [> In occbin.mkdatap_anticipated_dyn (line 104) In occbin.solve_one_constraint (line 175) In occbin.solver (line 63) In occbin.kalman_update_algo_1 (line 133) In missing_observations_kalman_filter (line 235) In dsge_likelihood (line 705) In gmhmaxlik_core (line 154) In gmhmaxlik (line 100) In dynare_minimize_objective (line 336) In dynare_estimation_1 (line 211) In dynare_estimation (line 118) In sw07_0719_ff.driver (line 670) In dynare (line 281) ] [Warning: Matrix is close to singular or badly scaled. Results may be inaccurate. RCOND = 1.623999e-16.] [> In occbin.mkdatap_anticipated_dyn (line 104) In occbin.solve_one_constraint (line 175) In occbin.solver (line 63) In occbin.kalman_update_algo_1 (line 133) In missing_observations_kalman_filter (line 235) In dsge_likelihood (line 705) In gmhmaxlik_core (line 154) In gmhmaxlik (line 100) In dynare_minimize_objective (line 336) In dynare_estimation_1 (line 211) In dynare_estimation (line 118) In sw07_0719_ff.driver (line 670) In dynare (line 281) ] [Warning: Matrix is close to singular or badly scaled. Results may be inaccurate. RCOND = 1.453375e-16.] [> In occbin.mkdatap_anticipated_dyn (line 104) In occbin.solve_one_constraint (line 175) In occbin.solver (line 63) In occbin.kalman_update_algo_1 (line 133) In missing_observations_kalman_filter (line 235) In dsge_likelihood (line 705) In gmhmaxlik_core (line 154) In gmhmaxlik (line 100) In dynare_minimize_objective (line 336) In dynare_estimation_1 (line 211) In dynare_estimation (line 118) In sw07_0719_ff.driver (line 670) In dynare (line 281) ] [Warning: Matrix is close to singular or badly scaled. Results may be inaccurate. RCOND = 1.300676e-16.] [> In occbin.mkdatap_anticipated_dyn (line 104) In occbin.solve_one_constraint (line 175) In occbin.solver (line 63) In occbin.kalman_update_algo_1 (line 133) In missing_observations_kalman_filter (line 235) In dsge_likelihood (line 705) In gmhmaxlik_core (line 154) In gmhmaxlik (line 100) In dynare_minimize_objective (line 336) In dynare_estimation_1 (line 211) In dynare_estimation (line 118) In sw07_0719_ff.driver (line 670) In dynare (line 281) ] [Warning: Matrix is close to singular or badly scaled. Results may be inaccurate. RCOND = 1.164021e-16.] [> In occbin.mkdatap_anticipated_dyn (line 104) In occbin.solve_one_constraint (line 175) In occbin.solver (line 63) In occbin.kalman_update_algo_1 (line 133) In missing_observations_kalman_filter (line 235) In dsge_likelihood (line 705) In gmhmaxlik_core (line 154) In gmhmaxlik (line 100) In dynare_minimize_objective (line 336) In dynare_estimation_1 (line 211) In dynare_estimation (line 118) In sw07_0719_ff.driver (line 670) In dynare (line 281) ] [Warning: Matrix is close to singular or badly scaled. Results may be inaccurate. RCOND = 1.041724e-16.] [> In occbin.mkdatap_anticipated_dyn (line 104) In occbin.solve_one_constraint (line 175) In occbin.solver (line 63) In occbin.kalman_update_algo_1 (line 133) In missing_observations_kalman_filter (line 235) In dsge_likelihood (line 705) In gmhmaxlik_core (line 154) In gmhmaxlik (line 100) In dynare_minimize_objective (line 336) In dynare_estimation_1 (line 211) In dynare_estimation (line 118) In sw07_0719_ff.driver (line 670) In dynare (line 281) ] [Warning: Matrix is close to singular or badly scaled. Results may be inaccurate. RCOND = 9.322756e-17.] [> In occbin.mkdatap_anticipated_dyn (line 104) In occbin.solve_one_constraint (line 175) In occbin.solver (line 63) In occbin.kalman_update_algo_1 (line 133) In missing_observations_kalman_filter (line 235) In dsge_likelihood (line 705) In gmhmaxlik_core (line 154) In gmhmaxlik (line 100) In dynare_minimize_objective (line 336) In dynare_estimation_1 (line 211) In dynare_estimation (line 118) In sw07_0719_ff.driver (line 670) In dynare (line 281) ] [Warning: Matrix is close to singular or badly scaled. Results may be inaccurate. RCOND = 8.343264e-17.] [> In occbin.mkdatap_anticipated_dyn (line 104) In occbin.solve_one_constraint (line 175) In occbin.solver (line 63) In occbin.kalman_update_algo_1 (line 133) In missing_observations_kalman_filter (line 235) In dsge_likelihood (line 705) In gmhmaxlik_core (line 154) In gmhmaxlik (line 100) In dynare_minimize_objective (line 336) In dynare_estimation_1 (line 211) In dynare_estimation (line 118) In sw07_0719_ff.driver (line 670) In dynare (line 281) ] [Warning: Matrix is close to singular or badly scaled. Results may be inaccurate. RCOND = 7.466682e-17.] [> In occbin.mkdatap_anticipated_dyn (line 104) In occbin.solve_one_constraint (line 175) In occbin.solver (line 63) In occbin.kalman_update_algo_1 (line 133) In missing_observations_kalman_filter (line 235) In dsge_likelihood (line 705) In gmhmaxlik_core (line 154) In gmhmaxlik (line 100) In dynare_minimize_objective (line 336) In dynare_estimation_1 (line 211) In dynare_estimation (line 118) In sw07_0719_ff.driver (line 670) In dynare (line 281) ] [Warning: Matrix is close to singular or badly scaled. Results may be inaccurate. RCOND = 6.682198e-17.] [> In occbin.mkdatap_anticipated_dyn (line 104) In occbin.solve_one_constraint (line 175) In occbin.solver (line 63) In occbin.kalman_update_algo_1 (line 133) In missing_observations_kalman_filter (line 235) In dsge_likelihood (line 705) In gmhmaxlik_core (line 154) In gmhmaxlik (line 100) In dynare_minimize_objective (line 336) In dynare_estimation_1 (line 211) In dynare_estimation (line 118) In sw07_0719_ff.driver (line 670) In dynare (line 281) ] [Warning: Matrix is close to singular or badly scaled. Results may be inaccurate. RCOND = 5.980135e-17.] [> In occbin.mkdatap_anticipated_dyn (line 104) In occbin.solve_one_constraint (line 175) In occbin.solver (line 63) In occbin.kalman_update_algo_1 (line 133) In missing_observations_kalman_filter (line 235) In dsge_likelihood (line 705) In gmhmaxlik_core (line 154) In gmhmaxlik (line 100) In dynare_minimize_objective (line 336) In dynare_estimation_1 (line 211) In dynare_estimation (line 118) In sw07_0719_ff.driver (line 670) In dynare (line 281) ] [Warning: Matrix is close to singular or badly scaled. Results may be inaccurate. RCOND = 5.351835e-17.] [> In occbin.mkdatap_anticipated_dyn (line 104) In occbin.solve_one_constraint (line 175) In occbin.solver (line 63) In occbin.kalman_update_algo_1 (line 133) In missing_observations_kalman_filter (line 235) In dsge_likelihood (line 705) In gmhmaxlik_core (line 154) In gmhmaxlik (line 100) In dynare_minimize_objective (line 336) In dynare_estimation_1 (line 211) In dynare_estimation (line 118) In sw07_0719_ff.driver (line 670) In dynare (line 281) ] [Warning: Matrix is close to singular or badly scaled. Results may be inaccurate. RCOND = 4.789546e-17.] [> In occbin.mkdatap_anticipated_dyn (line 104) In occbin.solve_one_constraint (line 175) In occbin.solver (line 63) In occbin.kalman_update_algo_1 (line 133) In missing_observations_kalman_filter (line 235) In dsge_likelihood (line 705) In gmhmaxlik_core (line 154) In gmhmaxlik (line 100) In dynare_minimize_objective (line 336) In dynare_estimation_1 (line 211) In dynare_estimation (line 118) In sw07_0719_ff.driver (line 670) In dynare (line 281) ] [Warning: Matrix is close to singular or badly scaled. Results may be inaccurate. RCOND = 4.286334e-17.] [> In occbin.mkdatap_anticipated_dyn (line 104) In occbin.solve_one_constraint (line 175) In occbin.solver (line 63) In occbin.kalman_update_algo_1 (line 133) In missing_observations_kalman_filter (line 235) In dsge_likelihood (line 705) In gmhmaxlik_core (line 154) In gmhmaxlik (line 100) In dynare_minimize_objective (line 336) In dynare_estimation_1 (line 211) In dynare_estimation (line 118) In sw07_0719_ff.driver (line 670) In dynare (line 281) ] [Warning: Matrix is close to singular or badly scaled. Results may be inaccurate. RCOND = 3.835992e-17.] [> In occbin.mkdatap_anticipated_dyn (line 104) In occbin.solve_one_constraint (line 175) In occbin.solver (line 63) In occbin.kalman_update_algo_1 (line 133) In missing_observations_kalman_filter (line 235) In dsge_likelihood (line 705) In gmhmaxlik_core (line 154) In gmhmaxlik (line 100) In dynare_minimize_objective (line 336) In dynare_estimation_1 (line 211) In dynare_estimation (line 118) In sw07_0719_ff.driver (line 670) In dynare (line 281) ] [Warning: Matrix is close to singular or badly scaled. Results may be inaccurate. RCOND = 3.432965e-17.] [> In occbin.mkdatap_anticipated_dyn (line 104) In occbin.solve_one_constraint (line 175) In occbin.solver (line 63) In occbin.kalman_update_algo_1 (line 133) In missing_observations_kalman_filter (line 235) In dsge_likelihood (line 705) In gmhmaxlik_core (line 154) In gmhmaxlik (line 100) In dynare_minimize_objective (line 336) In dynare_estimation_1 (line 211) In dynare_estimation (line 118) In sw07_0719_ff.driver (line 670) In dynare (line 281) ]